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Europe's Heat Challenge: Predicting More Temperature-Related Deaths by 2100
A recent study has revealed that, come the end of this century, a whopping 50% more people may succumb to the dangerous rise in Europe's temperature. LiveData predicts a net increase of 80,000 deaths per annum in their most high-temperature scenario, even after considering milder winter casualty decreases.
Outsmarting the Cold Climate Theory
This verdict challenges the popular argument that global warming could trim down the number of deaths from cold weather. This concept was precisely what the study aimed to investigate, and as per Pierre Masselot, the study's lead, a temperature-related death rise is highly likely.
A Deeper Look into Projected Fatalities
Expanding on prior research, the scientists related mortality rates with temperature for various age groups in 854 of Europe's cities. They then correlated these with three potential climate scenarios to find the likeliest outcomes. Irrespective of a scenario, the study concluded that, sadly, fatal temperatures could claim more lives than they do today.
Geographical Heat Impact
The hardest-hit area is expected to be hot southern Europe, particularly around the Mediterranean, with a second hotspot in central Europe. On the other hand, cooler northern Europe might witness a small drop in deaths.
Heat and Cold: The Understated Demons
The adverse impacts of extreme cold and heat often go unacknowledged until extreme conditions like hypothermia and heatstroke set in. Heatwaves cause hyperactivity in bodies, especially among the elderly and the sick. Cold weather, on the other hand, heightens the risk of heart and lung ailments.
Adaptation: The Desirable Path
Despite these distressing predictions, the good news is humans possess the ability to adapt. Measures like installing air conditioning, creating climate retreats, and increasing city greenery to moderate urban heat can help. Net deaths can drop only if these adaptive actions succeed in halving temperature exposure, especially in scenarios that aim for carbon pollution reduction.
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